Final Overview

Now that I’m finished with my research paper, I can say that I’m pretty happy with what I was able to accomplish over the summer. My project started off a bit broad, but I was able to narrow it down and get going on something that I find extremely interesting and didn’t know much about when I started up. I’m pretty sure that I’m going to continue working with this project in one way or another — maybe in a course or independent study, or even as a larger project if I ever get to grad school. From what I’ve seen, there is certainly a lot to still be investigated looking at south-south partnerships within a relationship marketing framework and cultural policy in developing countries, in general.

This summer I was able to do and see a ton of things that are new to me. I completed a large panel data analysis that yielded results that fell in line with my theory. I also made it to Brazil and was able to speak with people that helped move my project along in the right direction (and got blown off by others). Here are the conclusions I drew from the research project:

Through an econometric panel data analysis and a case study of the Brazil-China partnership, this paper has offered evidence to support the theory that cultural ties precede and foster growth in economic relations in developing country partnerships. Countries, like businesses, have realized the increasing costs of the old transaction model of marketing and have instead sought to construct mutually beneficial long-term relationships. In the framework of relationship marketing and commitment-trust theory, shared values, manifested in culture, act as a precursor to the development of relationship commitment and trust. Developing countries, lacking the cultural market share of the United States, Western Europe, and Japan, have used a variety of cultural policies to make up for the difference. In the burgeoning Brazil-China relationship, China has realized that its cultural distance has the potential to hinder future growth and has embarked on a number of missions to assuage Brazilian fears of neo-colonialism by sponsoring Confucius Institutes and other programs.

The econometric panel data analysis paired five emerging economies (Brazil, China, India, Russia, and South Africa) with developing country partners and used a gravity model to test the relationship between bilateral exports of creative goods and bilateral merchandise exports. The analysis found a statistically and economically significant relationship, in which a 10% increase in creative exports related to a 1.09% increase in merchandise exports, or, using the sample averages, a $1 increase in creative exports related to a $3.56 increase in merchandise exports. While the analysis cannot prove a causal relationship, it offers evidence to support the theory that cultural ties precede and promote growth in economic ones in developing country partnerships. If data in FDI flows between developing countries becomes available, it could provide even more convincing support for the theory. The brief discussion of cultural policy instruments should also be further investigated as a legitimate tool for constructing long-term committed relationships and working toward the broader goal of development.

Brazil-China case study

Along with the quantitative section of the paper, I wanted to include a case study of Brazil’s relationship with China. Latin America (esp. Brazil) has always been my main regional interest in IR and economics and China’s presence has really shaken things up.

The Brazil-China economic relationship has boomed over the past decade and in 2009 China surpassed the US as Brazil’s largest trading partner. From 2009 to 2010, China’s FDI inflows to Brazil increased from $300 million to $17 billion, more than a third of the total flow in to Brazil. Questions, though, have arisen from the Brazilian side on how beneficial its relationship will prove to be. Brazil fears the impact of Chinese companies dumping manufactured goods on its domestic manufacturers and that the relationship depends far too much on it exporting commodities and raw materials, which could lead to de-industrialization. Many have claimed that Brazil’s dependence on commodity exports to China looks like neo-colonialism. The cultural distance between the partners also does not help.

On its face, the Brazil-China relationship is marked by some of the most common, static indicators of distance, such as language (with the exception of the now independent Macau region), religion, and geographical distance. Aside from Brazil importing a few thousand Chinese workers to take over for emancipated slaves in the late 1800s and more recent migrations, the countries had little to no interaction, economic or political, for much of the past few centuries. China, today, also has a reputation for autocracy and poor environmental, human rights, and labor practices, which all fall in striking contrast to the image Brazil has constructed of itself since the end of the military dictatorship.

These frictions have played out on the macro and micro level, with both the Brazilian government and individuals sometimes showing that they are wary of China’s power. For example, the Brazilian government has brought a number of cases to the World Trade Organization against China for suspected dumping and it has also criticized China’s valuation of the yuan. In the workplace, Brazilian organizational and business culture often conflicts with the model Chinese companies bring to Brazil. Chinese companies function with a strong amount of centralization, that puts little trust in local managers and has a bad reputation toward labor rights. Generally, Chinese companies hire Chinese workers to avoid cultural tensions, but Brazilian officials push foreign companies to employ local workers. Brazil’s strong labor protections, bureaucratic red tape for businesses, and what is viewed as a “lax” and “informal” attitude toward work in comparison to the Chinese are among the many common issues, while “a survey of 500 Brazilian executives working for Chinese, North American and European companies… found that 42 percent of Brazilian executives working for Chinese companies left their jobs within a year, a 68 percent higher turnover rate than found in the other firms studied” (Brooks 2011).

China has attempted to alleviate these fears through a few avenues. They have recently opened two Confucius Institutes — one in Brasilia and one in São Paulo — which offer language courses and sponsor a variety cultural programs. Confucius Institutes exist all over the world (and apparently W&M is getting one now, too) and function as a university partnership program, with an exchange of faculty and students. There also are business development organizations, such as the Brazil-China Chamber of Economic Development (CBCDE) that offer services to help mitigate the distance between the two countries.

I’m wary of using the term ‘soft power’ since that just opens up a whole new theoretical mess, but Chinese programs like Confucius Institutes would probably fall into the category of China attempting to project its soft power into Latin America. I’m more comfortable with employing the model of relationship marketing here, than trying to fit the Brazil-China relationship into a realist paradigm.